Evaluating the Conservative and Labour Manifestos

Nov 30, 2019

Professors Leach and Minford assess the 2019 manifestos of the two major parties.

Brexit effects of the new EU Deal: a critique of the models and assumptions used its evaluation

Nov 08, 2019

Professor Patrick Minford reviews the analysis of Boris Johnson’s new Brexit Deal.

No Deal is the best deal for the UK

Mar 11, 2019

Professor Patrick Minford sets out how No Deal is the best deal for the UK.

How the Treasury, Bank and Civil Service have let us down

Feb 16, 2019

Professor Patrick Minford attacks the terrible economics of Remainer propaganda.

The effects of Brexit on the UK Economy

Jan 31, 2019

A comprehensive paper in World Economics where Professor Patrick Minford explains his modeling approach in depth, why it is better than gravity models, what it means for the UK economy, and why Whitehall’s model are wrong.

In One Bound We Can Be Free

Jan 28, 2019

How a UK-US free trade deal can boost national output by £80 billion and cut UK consumer prices by 8 per cent.

No Deal is the Best Deal for Britain

Jan 12, 2019

This report brings together an experienced group of top level economists, other professionals, parliamentarians, and businessmen to assess the No Deal option for departing from the European Union – that is, a departure without a trade deal on WTO terms, sometimes called a ‘World Trade Deal’.

Mrs May’s search for “legal assurances”: a charade to change perceptions but not substance

Jan 09, 2019

Martin Howe QC sets out how Mrs May’s exercise will cloud the real issue by seeking to divert the debate on to arcane and recondite questions about the precise legal status of “interpretative agreements”.

Letter to the Chair of the Treasury Select Committee

Dec 10, 2018

Letter to the Rt Hon Nicky Morgan MP calling for pressure on the Treasury

Withdrawal Agreement: the Northern Irish “Backstop” and the constitution of the United Kingdom

Dec 07, 2018

Martin Howe QC, Chairman of Lawyers for Britain, continues his series of briefings and dissections of the Withdrawal Agreement with this assessment of the way in which the Northern Ireland Protocol (which is part of the Agreement) would affect Northern Ireland differently from Great Britain.

Overview of Treasury Brexit forecasts

Dec 07, 2018

Professor Patrick Minford’s submission to the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee

Why not learn from the past as well as by predicting the future

Dec 05, 2018

Michael Burrage’s submission to the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee

An overview of the Treasury’s new Brexit forecasts

Dec 04, 2018

A short overview of the new Treasury forecasts.

Evidence to the Treasury Select Committee

Dec 03, 2018

Roger Bootle’s written evidence to the Treasury Select Committee

A commentary on David Davis’ speech at Carlton House Terrace

Nov 28, 2018

Following on from David Davis’ speech earlier today, Professor Patrick Minford has published some underlying analysis of the Treasury’s flawed assumptions.

Stand firm in the face of the onslaught of Project Fear propaganda

Nov 28, 2018

Rt Hon David Davis MP’s speech at our event

Immigration: A central Brexit issue

Nov 12, 2018

This report shows that the least well off in Britain are “bearing the biggest burden” of the costs of unskilled migration. 

Budget for Brexit Economic Report

Oct 20, 2018

The Chancellor should seize the economic benefits of Brexit to cut taxes and spend more on public services.

Letter to the Chancellor

Oct 13, 2018

Our letter to the Chancellor asking that he release the Whitehall Brexit analysis so that “experts from all sides can study its methodology, assumptions and conclusions.”

Report on the Chancellor’s comments to the Lords Economic Affairs Select Committee

Sep 22, 2018

This report is a response to the Chancellor discussing our work during a Lords Economic Affairs Select Committee.

A World Trade Deal: The Complete Guide

Sep 11, 2018

This paper is an easily readable Guide to the only way of exiting from the EU under conditions that guarantee a Clean Brexit – a World Trade Deal under WTO rules.

Why the Supposed ‘worst possible option’ – a World Trade Deal Trading Under WTO rules – is the UK’s Best Next Step

Aug 01, 2018

This paper sets out how a World Trade Deal is the UK’s best next step


Jul 13, 2018

This paper sets out where the Government’s Brexit strategy has gone wrong and how it can get back on track – by pursuing a Canada-style deal.

What if We Can’t Agree? Why a World Free Trade Deal Exit from the EU will be Best for the UK

Jun 17, 2018

This report argues that a World Trade Deal – under WTO rules that govern the vast bulk of global trade – is the best bet for the UK with Brexit talks bogged down and little sign of progress with a hostile and intransigent EU.

How the Civil Service has misled us on the costs of Brexit and the customs union

May 14, 2018

Patrick Minford sets out how the most recent doom-and-gloom forecasting of the Civil Service was wrong by £300 billion – brought on by their absurdly high assumptions about UK-EU trade barriers, equivalent to tariffs ranging between 8.1% and 30.6%.

EU Economic Policies

Apr 12, 2018

Professor David Blake critiques the EU’s debt-fuelled maintenance of the single currency.

A Budget for Brexit Update

Mar 11, 2018

We – who correctly predicted that the Treasury and the OBR would have to revise their figures – say that from 2020, the Treasury will have a surplus of more than £25 billion a year and rising to play with.

Alternative Brexit Economic Analysis

Feb 21, 2018

This report has been produced by four leading independent economists, all with a strong successful track record in economic forecasting: Roger Bootle (Economists for Free Trade), Gerard Lyons (City economist), Professor Patrick Minford (Cardiff University and Chair of Economists for Free Trade), and Julian Jessop (Chief Economist at the Institute of Economic Affairs).

A Budget for Brexit

Nov 14, 2017

Read the Economists for Free Trade’s ‘Budget for Brexit’ Red Book in full here.

New Model Economy for a Post-Brexit Britain

Sep 03, 2017

Read the latest report from Economists for Free Trade, Leave Means Leave and Labour Leave.

The Economy after Brexit: From Project Fear to Project Prosperity

Aug 17, 2017

Read our publications on the economy after Brexit here, including From Project Fear to Project Prosperity, which sets out the key arguments for free trade, properly understood as global free trade and not simply free trade with the rest of the EU.


Jul 21, 2017

Read our publications on Trade here.

Responses to critics

Jul 21, 2017

You can read our responses to critics here.

The City

Jul 21, 2017

Read our publications on the City after Brexit here.


Jul 21, 2017

To read our work on immigration, click here.

The Critique of Project Fear

Jul 21, 2017

Our economists have critiqued Project Fear. Read their work here.

Supporting Works

Jul 21, 2017

Alongside the publications available via this website, our leading economists have published supporting works.

sign up to our Newsletter