Professor Patrick Minford sets out how No Deal is the best deal for the UK.

Professor Patrick Minford attacks the terrible economics of Remainer propaganda.

A comprehensive paper in World Economics where Professor Patrick Minford explains his modeling approach in depth, why it is better than gravity models, what it means for the UK economy, and why Whitehall’s model are wrong.

How a UK-US free trade deal can boost national output by £80 billion and cut UK consumer prices by 8 per cent.

This report brings together an experienced group of top level economists, other professionals, parliamentarians, and businessmen to assess the No Deal option for departing from the European Union – that is, a departure without a trade deal on WTO terms, sometimes called a ‘World Trade Deal’.

Martin Howe QC sets out how Mrs May’s exercise will cloud the real issue by seeking to divert the debate on to arcane and recondite questions about the precise legal status of “interpretative agreements”.

Letter to the Rt Hon Nicky Morgan MP calling for pressure on the Treasury

Martin Howe QC, Chairman of Lawyers for Britain, continues his series of briefings and dissections of the Withdrawal Agreement with this assessment of the way in which the Northern Ireland Protocol (which is part of the Agreement) would affect Northern Ireland differently from Great Britain.

Professor Patrick Minford’s submission to the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee

Michael Burrage’s submission to the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee

A short overview of the new Treasury forecasts.

Roger Bootle’s written evidence to the Treasury Select Committee

Following on from David Davis’ speech earlier today, Professor Patrick Minford has published some underlying analysis of the Treasury’s flawed assumptions.

Rt Hon David Davis MP’s speech at our event

This report shows that the least well off in Britain are “bearing the biggest burden” of the costs of unskilled migration. 

The Chancellor should seize the economic benefits of Brexit to cut taxes and spend more on public services.

Our letter to the Chancellor asking that he release the Whitehall Brexit analysis so that “experts from all sides can study its methodology, assumptions and conclusions.”

This report is a response to the Chancellor discussing our work during a Lords Economic Affairs Select Committee.

This paper is an easily readable Guide to the only way of exiting from the EU under conditions that guarantee a Clean Brexit – a World Trade Deal under WTO rules.

This paper sets out how a World Trade Deal is the UK’s best next step

This paper sets out where the Government’s Brexit strategy has gone wrong and how it can get back on track – by pursuing a Canada-style deal.

This report argues that a World Trade Deal – under WTO rules that govern the vast bulk of global trade – is the best bet for the UK with Brexit talks bogged down and little sign of progress with a hostile and intransigent EU.

Patrick Minford sets out how the most recent doom-and-gloom forecasting of the Civil Service was wrong by £300 billion – brought on by their absurdly high assumptions about UK-EU trade barriers, equivalent to tariffs ranging between 8.1% and 30.6%.

Professor David Blake critiques the EU’s debt-fuelled maintenance of the single currency.

We – who correctly predicted that the Treasury and the OBR would have to revise their figures – say that from 2020, the Treasury will have a surplus of more than £25 billion a year and rising to play with.

This report has been produced by four leading independent economists, all with a strong successful track record in economic forecasting: Roger Bootle (Economists for Free Trade), Gerard Lyons (City economist), Professor Patrick Minford (Cardiff University and Chair of Economists for Free Trade), and Julian Jessop (Chief Economist at the Institute of Economic Affairs).

Read the Economists for Free Trade’s ‘Budget for Brexit’ Red Book in full here.

Read the latest report from Economists for Free Trade, Leave Means Leave and Labour Leave.

Read our publications on the economy after Brexit here, including From Project Fear to Project Prosperity, which sets out the key arguments for free trade, properly understood as global free trade and not simply free trade with the rest of the EU.

Read our publications on Trade here.

You can read our responses to critics here.

Read our publications on the City after Brexit here.

To read our work on immigration, click here.

Our economists have critiqued Project Fear. Read their work here.

Alongside the publications available via this website, our leading economists have published supporting works.